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November 30, 2007

Giuliani: Chicago is not a Major City

According to Rudy Giuliani Chicago is not a major American city.  Or at least that is the most favorable interpretation of  his misleading statement  running in his commercials that New York was “the only city in America that has reduced crime every single year since 1994.”

Because at least one other little tiny US city has done that, Chicago. Now, maybe, as a New Yorker Giuliani doesn't consider Chicago, nestled in the the great fly-over, American.  Or maybe the third largest city in the US doesn't qualify as a city for the former Gotham Mayor.  Or, perhaps, he's just makin' stuff up, as he seems to have developed a nasty habit of doing.

November 28, 2007

Finally

Finally someone has gone on air with an ad on Mitt Romney's abortion flip-flops, and it's a pro-choice Republican group.  The group, Republican Majority for Choice, is planning to spend more than one hundred thousand dollars exposing Multiple Choice Mitt's inconstancy, mostly in New Hampshire.

Here's the ad:

New South Carolina Poll

Over at TPM Election Central they have a link to a new South Carolina poll.  The big news in the amount of undecided voters, nearly fifty percent and the trendline, which shows both Edwards and Obama moving up (slightly) and Clinton moving down. 

In the comment section a number of people seem concerned Edwards and Obama are splitting some 'anti-Clinton' vote.  I think the commenters are taking a net-centric view. South Carolina is the one state where Edwards and Obama are most likely to be complimentary to each other.  If one looks at the internals from the poll it doesn't look like Obama and Edwards are drawing from the same voters:

As expected, Obama is drawing heavily from this group: more than three-quarters of his supporters are African-American. Clinton is drawing over half her support from this cohort as well.

The pollsters don't say it explicitly, but Obama and Clinton appear to be neck and neck with African Americans. While Edwards is is probably a fairly close second among white South Carolina Democrats and Obama third. Point being, it is certainly no guarantee that either would pick up all or even most of the other's support in the eventuality of a withdrawal the other.

November 24, 2007

Giuliani's Cronyism

The Washington Post isn't pulling any punches today in an examination of the loyalty over all management style of Rudolph Giuliani.  It goes through a litany of ill fated patronage appointments, including this one:


(Marilyn) Gelber, for one, argues that the latter definition applied to the Giuliani administration. She freely admits she got her job for political reasons -- she was chief of staff to the Brooklyn borough president, and to curry favor with him, a Democrat, Giuliani hired her as his first environment commissioner. At first, she was impressed with Giuliani's zeal to "look for new ideas and new ways of doing things," which included organizing thoughtful seminars on governance for Cabinet members.

But she grew disillusioned when she started getting pressure from City Hall to hire political supporters and fire those from the previous administration, including a secretary, as well as criticism for receiving too much praise in the newspapers for her work. Things came to a head, she said, when City Hall told her to hire an applicant for a key deputy post overseeing air quality who presented as his qualification some materials on his work for the Giuliani campaign, including a thank-you letter from the mayor.

(Emphasis Added)


Is it any wonder Giuliani didn't take the health problems of 9/11 recovery workers seriously.

November 23, 2007

I is Smarter than Matt Yglesias- Gossip Girl Edition

Um, OK, this isn't a major point, but Matt Yglesias seems to be overly interested with the lack of Jews in the CW TV series Gossip Girl set in upper crust Upper East Side of New York.  He's written two posts on the show, both of which mention the demographic anomaly.

Never having seen the show, not being from New York, and not being Jewish, I can't say I ever thought about it.  But the I do know the show is based on a book, or more accurately, a series of books.  And the author of the books claims those were inspired by her experiences at the Nighingale Bramford School, at least according to the all knowing Wikipedia.

Now, why the author chose to depict her character's as such, I don't know, as I guess Wikipedia isn't that all knowing.  Perhaps, her friends at the school were all WASPs, or maybe she felt WASPing them up would give the characters a more old time decadent aristocratic feel, which is my guess.  In any case, it's fiction, and as such they make stuff up.

November 20, 2007

John Edwards and the Small "d" democratic Wing of the Democratic Party

By now most people not living under under rocks know that John Edwards is considered an "economic populist."  Unfortunately, the term is often ill defined, other than a sense of being on the side of working people and vague recollections about a Cross of Gold speech. For Edwards substantively "economic populism" means that he is committed to universal health care, to effectively eliminate poverty in thirty years, and supports Smart trade agreements that benefit workers here and with our trading partners instead of just corporations.

Beyond the specific policies John Edwards's value system is one that comes unapologetically from his small town working class background.  But, mill working fathers and passionate speeches aside, what is too often missed about the John Edwards brand of populism, is his insistence on the marriage of economic and political empowerment.

The way Edwards combines promoting a fair economic shake for everyone with de-rigging the political system has appealed to me since he started doing it during his last run.  Now, after eight years of top down politics and top down economics from the Bush administration, John Edwards's brand of democratic Populism is exactly what is needed.

His democratic Populism takes shape in a number of proposals, most famous is his career long refusal to take PAC or lobbyist money and his call for the entire Democratic Party to join him.  More devilishly, there is his plan to force Congress to justify their own government funded health care as they refuse to enact universal health care for the rest of the nation.  A plan Jake Tapper, with no apparent sense of irony, called cruel because it may deny coverage to Congresspeople with health problems in their families (Note to Tapper: millions of Americans face that 'cruel' reality everyday, something that, strangely, never seemed to concern Tapper a wink before). If the plan can make a card carrying member of the MSM care about some one's health care, it must have merit, even if it is just for the beltway elites. Baby steps, people, baby steps. One of Edwards's more exciting democratic Populism proposals is his One Democracy initiative and its Citizen's Congress proposal praised here by Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Government Professor Tina Nabatchi:

Most of us have no formal way to participate in decision making about the issues of highest public concern Iraq, taxes, health care, jobs, global warming, the environment, education, Social Security; the list can go on and on. No wonder the CBS News/New York Times poll found that only 10 percent of Americans believe they have a say in what the government does a "good deal" of the time! Finally, however, one of the presidential candidates is taking on this problem. Last month, John Edwards unveiled a government reform proposal that seeks to re-engage Americans with politics and government. His One Democracy initiative calls for the participation of ordinary Americans in politics through a Citizen Congress a program in which millions of Americans nationwide would participate in deliberations about critical policy issues, identify the challenges and trade- offs facing our country, and offer advisory opinions to leaders. Edwards' plan has the potential to strengthen our national democracy and reverse the trend of disengagement among American citizens by offering them a new voice. It could help the public identify common priorities (not the priorities of special interests and business), foster common ground and consensus, and develop solutions for the common good. In doing so, it could create a broad public constituency to stand behind and support our leaders' political actions, however difficult they might be. Mobilizing and engaging citizens in this way could help build the political will we so desperately need to act on serious matters of public policy.

(Emphasis Added) The Citizens Congress is the flip side of campaign finance reform and public financing, which Edwards also supports. While the finance schemes are badly needed to limit the power and influence of corporations and special interests, the Citizens Congress is designed to increase the power and influence of ordinary citizens. Beyond the specific reform proposals, this spirit of empowering people politically and economically infuses almost all of John Edwards policies, take his answer to TechCrunch on Net Neutrality:

In May, I – like thousands of citizens – wrote a letter to the FCC urging them to guarantee net neutrality. I believe that if we do not guarantee net neutrality, the Internet could go the way of network television and commercial radio - with just a few loud corporate voices and no room for the grassroots and small entrepreneurs. Our country is already divided enough between the haves and have-nots. Where we go to school, where (and if) we get health care, whether we can retire with dignity - we have big divides in all of these areas in this country. While we work to create One America, we should not allow the Internet to be divided or corporate censorship to take root. That would make the other important work we have to do that much harder.

(Emphasis Added) In a way that no other politician seems to, Edwards gets that the unfairness of our political system is linked to the unfairness of our economic system.  In a way that no other politician seems to, Edwards is committed and prepared to change both. And that combination of economic Populism with Small 'd' democratic Populism is what makes Edwards such a potentially transformational leader .

November 15, 2007

The Unknowable

Probably the most over-hyped political analysis tidbit is the effect of having the Iowa caucuses on January 3rd, during Christmas break, will have on college student participation.  By extension, of course is whether it will help or hurt Barack Obama, the campus favorite. 

According to TPM Election Central college students made up just 3.9% of attendees in 2004.  A good Orange Bowl match up, which is January 3rd, could decrease participation by that much.

It's pretty unknowable whether the college vacation will effect turnout or the outcome in any significant way.  Will students at home have a lower participation rate without peer influence to encourage them to go?  Will dad convince them to switch to Edwards?  Will they convince Mom to switch to Obama?  Who knows?

There are so many unknown variables that will probably have more impact than this one particular angel on the pinhead.

Perspective

Great Edwards moment from a horribly moderated 'debate' on CNN.  Here Edwards puts the whole campaign in a much broader perspective than the small 'gotchas' the journalists wanted to discuss:

November 08, 2007

Does Rudy endorse Pat?

Wednesday the political world was stunned when televangelist Pat Robertson endorsed pro-abortion and pro-gay rights former Mayor Rudy Giuliani.  Apparently, killing babies is OK, as long as you take some Muslims with them.

The bigger question now is whether Giuliani endorses the views of his newest supporter, from Gail Collins: 

Robertson’s backing will surely give Giuliani a leg up among voters who believe that God sends natural disasters to punish Americans whose school board members believe in the theory of evolution, or who have the bad luck to live near an inclusive amusement park. (He warned Orlando that when Disney World welcomed gay patrons it was letting them in for terrorist attacks, “earthquakes, tornadoes and possibly a meteor.”)

Robertson said similar things about 9/11, that God lifted the umbrella of his protection because of an episode of Ellen, or something.

A Noun, a verb, and 9/11, let's see....

Gays caused 9/11?
God wanted 9/11?
America "deserved" 9/11?

Is that your message now Rudy ?

November 03, 2007

This Sucks

Since I have a blog, I feel somehow morally obligated to comment on the Pakistan situation, even though I have little to say about it, other than it sucks.  We have tied ourselves awfully closely to Musharraf, who today seems to have abandoned all pretenses of democratic transition.  As has been the case in the Middle East since the Cold War we find ourselves on the wrong side of democracy, but without a great deal of wiggle room.

Here's hoping Bhutto can become some sort of credible democratic non-Islamic alternative. It's a faint hope.